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INT Pérou - Liga 1 · Match ·

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul33%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de69% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 33% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (30%)Double chanceX270%1.43
Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%Goals 2.5Moins de69%1.45
Oui 39% · Non 61%Les deux équipes marquentNon61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Atletico Grau win30%3.33
Nul33%3.03
FBC Melgar win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Grau0.87

Domicile share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 31% · Moins de 69%

FBC Melgar1.07

Extérieur share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 39% · Non 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Grau signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Grau victoire 30%,Nul 33%,FBC Melgar victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Plus de 2.5 31% · Current selection Moins de