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INT Перу - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Атлетико Грау vs Мелгар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина30%
Равен33%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Атлетико ГрауМелгар
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под69% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
30% / 33% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетико Грау win (30%)Двоен шансX270%1.43
Над 31% · Под 69%Goals 2.5Под69%1.45
Да 39% · Не 61%И двата отбора да отбележатНе61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Атлетико Грау win30%3.33
Равен33%3.03
Мелгар win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атлетико Грау0.87

Домакин share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 31% · Под 69%

Мелгар1.07

Гост share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Не 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Атлетико Грау

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мелгар

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Атлетико ГрауМелгар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атлетико Грау signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мелгар signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Атлетико Грау vs Мелгар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атлетико Грау печеливш 30%,Равен 33%,Мелгар печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Над 2.5 31% · Current selection Под