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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Zápas ·

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich30%
Remíza33%
Výhra hostí37%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej69% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
30% / 33% / 37%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (30%)Dvojitá šancaX270%1.43
Viac 31% · Menej 69%Goals 2.5Menej69%1.45
Áno 39% · Nie 61%Oba tímy skórujúNie61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Atletico Grau win30%3.33
Remíza33%3.03
FBC Melgar win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Grau0.87

Domáci share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 31% · Menej 69%

FBC Melgar1.07

Hostia share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 39% · Nie 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Výhra probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Grau signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Grau výhra 30%,Remíza 33%,FBC Melgar výhra 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Viac 2.5 31% · Current selection Menej