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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Partida ·

Atlético Grau vs FBC Melgar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa30%
Empate33%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético GrauFBC Melgar
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
30% / 33% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Grau win (30%)Dupla ChanceX270%1.43
Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%Goals 2.5Abaixo69%1.45
Sim 39% · Não 61%Ambas as equipes marcamNão61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Atlético Grau win30%3.33
Empate33%3.03
FBC Melgar win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Grau0.87

Mandante share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%

FBC Melgar1.07

Visitante share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 39% · Não 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Atlético Grau

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Atlético GrauFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Grau signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atlético Grau vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Grau ganhou 30%,Empate 33%,FBC Melgar ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Acima 2.5 31% · Current selection Abaixo