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INT Эквадор - ЛигаПро - Серия А · Матч ·

Оренсе vs Макара

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–2ОренсеМакара
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 29% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Двойной шанс1270.5%1.42
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 52% · Нет 48%Обе забьютДа52%1.92
2.60 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapМакара winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Оренсе win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Макара win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Оренсе1.09

Хозяева share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

Макара1.51

Гости share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 52% · Нет 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Оренсе

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Макара

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
1.51
ОренсеМакара
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Оренсе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Макара signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Оренсе vs Макара FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Оренсе выигрыш 38%,Ничья 29%,Макара выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше