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INT 厄瓜多爾足球甲組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

奧連斯 vs 馬卡拉

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
29%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–2奧連斯馬卡拉
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.552% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 29% / 33%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)雙重機會1270.5%1.42
大 48% · 小 52%Goals 2.552%1.92
是 52% · 否 48%雙方進球52%1.92
2.60 total expected goals正確比分1–2
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gap馬卡拉 winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
奧連斯 win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
馬卡拉 win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

奧連斯1.09

主隊 share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 48% · 52%

馬卡拉1.51

客隊 share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 52% · 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

奧連斯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

馬卡拉

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
1.51
奧連斯馬卡拉
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01奧連斯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02馬卡拉 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

奧連斯 vs 馬卡拉 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

奧連斯 38%, 29%,馬卡拉 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · 大2.5 48% · Current selection