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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Orense vs Macara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–2OrenseMacara
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 29% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dubbele Kans1270.5%1.42
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMacara winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orense win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Macara win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orense1.09

Thuis share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Macara1.51

Uit share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Orense

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Macara

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
1.51
OrenseMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orense signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Orense vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orense gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 29%,Macara gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder