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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.26 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente del ValleUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Expected goals3.26Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 26% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Católica del Ecuador win (25.2%)Dubbele Kans1X74.8%1.34
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.26 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Independiente del Valle win49%2.04
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Universidad Católica del Ecuador win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente del Valle2.06

Thuis share of expected goals 63.2%

Total expected goals3.26Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador1.20

Uit share of expected goals 36.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Universidad Católica del Ecuador

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
10
2.06
Expected goals
1.20
Independiente del ValleUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente del Valle signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad Católica del Ecuador signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente del Valle gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 26%,Universidad Católica del Ecuador gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven