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INT Ecuadori LigaPro Serie A · Mäng ·

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.26 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit49%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit25%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente del ValleUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Expected goals3.26Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle63% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
49% / 26% / 25%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad Católica del Ecuador win (25.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X74.8%1.34
Üle 63% · Alla 37%Goals 2.5Üle63%1.59
Jah 61% · Ei 39%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah61%1.64
3.26 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Independiente del Valle win49%2.04
Viik26%3.85
Universidad Católica del Ecuador win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente del Valle2.06

Kodu share of expected goals 63.2%

Total expected goals3.26Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 63% · Alla 37%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador1.20

Võõras share of expected goals 36.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 61% · Ei 39%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punktid15

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Universidad Católica del Ecuador

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Võit probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
10
2.06
Expected goals
1.20
Independiente del ValleUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente del Valle signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad Católica del Ecuador signalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente del Valle võit 49%,Viik 26%,Universidad Católica del Ecuador võit 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Üle 2.5 63% · Current selection Üle