Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 29% / 33%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Double chance1270.5%1.42
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMacara winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orense win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Macara win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.9%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 58.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchOrense
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchMacara
LDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
33%4
Points from supplied form
51.09
Expected goals
1.51OrenseMacara
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Orense vs Macara FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Orense win 38%，Draw 29%，Macara win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。