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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Fixture ·

Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw34%
Away win36%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityLDU Quito
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 34% / 36%Match resultAway win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guayaquil City win (29.8%)Double chanceX270.2%1.42
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Guayaquil City win30%3.33
Draw34%2.94
LDU Quito win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City0.80

Home share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%

LDU Quito0.98

Away share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

LDU Quito

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
12
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
Guayaquil CityLDU Quito
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LDU Quito signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City win 30%,Draw 34%,LDU Quito win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under