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INT Ecuador - Serie A · Partido ·

Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local30%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityLDU Quito
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de73% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
30% / 34% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guayaquil City win (29.8%)Doble OportunidadX270.2%1.42
Más de 27% · Menos de 73%Goals 2.5Menos de73%1.37
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Guayaquil City win30%3.33
Empate34%2.94
LDU Quito win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City0.80

Local share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 27% · Menos de 73%

LDU Quito0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

LDU Quito

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
12
0.80
Expected goals
0.98
Guayaquil CityLDU Quito
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LDU Quito signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs LDU Quito FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City ganada 30%,Empate 34%,LDU Quito ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Más de 2.5 27% · Current selection Menos de