Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
60% / 25% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (15.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.5%1.18
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapSD Aucas winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Empate25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Libertad FC win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 57.4%
Total expected goals2.35Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%
Visitante share of expected goals 42.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSí 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSD Aucas
WLDWW
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10
SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchLibertad FC
WDWWW
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%10
Points from supplied form
131.35
Expected goals
1.00SD AucasLibertad FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
SD Aucas vs Libertad FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SD Aucas ganada 60%，Empate 25%，Libertad FC ganada 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.35 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de。