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INT Ekvádor - LigaPro Serie A · Zápas ·

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích60%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů15%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích60% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLibertad FC
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně58% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
60% / 25% / 15%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (15.5%)Dvojitá šance1X84.5%1.18
Více 42% · Méně 58%Goals 2.5Méně58%1.72
Ano 47% · Ne 53%Oba týmy skórujíNe53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapSD Aucas winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Remíza25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Libertad FC win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.35

Domácí share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 42% · Méně 58%

Libertad FC1.00

Hosté share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 47% · Ne 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Libertad FC

2.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.35
Expected goals
1.00
SD AucasLibertad FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Libertad FC signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas výhra 60%,Remíza 25%,Libertad FC výhra 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Více 2.5 42% · Current selection Méně