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INT Эквадор - ЛигаПро - Серия А · Матч ·

СД Аукас vs Либертад

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score1–1СД АукасЛибертад
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 25% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Либертад win (15.5%)Двойной шанс1X84.5%1.18
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapСД Аукас winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СД Аукас win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Ничья25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Либертад win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СД Аукас1.35

Хозяева share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Либертад1.00

Гости share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СД Аукас

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Либертад

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.35
Expected goals
1.00
СД АукасЛибертад
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СД Аукас signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Либертад signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

СД Аукас vs Либертад FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СД Аукас выигрыш 60%,Ничья 25%,Либертад выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше