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INT Эквадор - ЛигаПро - Серия А · Матч ·

Эмелек vs ФК Леонес

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЭмелекФК Леонес
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 30% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Леонес win (21.6%)Двойной шанс1X78.4%1.28
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 42% · Нет 58%Обе забьютНет58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapФК Леонес winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эмелек win49%2.041.8350.1%-1.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
ФК Леонес win22%4.554.5020.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эмелек0.97

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

ФК Леонес1.10

Гости share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Нет 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эмелек

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Леонес

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
4
0.97
Expected goals
1.10
ЭмелекФК Леонес
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эмелек signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Леонес signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Эмелек vs ФК Леонес FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эмелек выигрыш 49%,Ничья 30%,ФК Леонес выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше