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INT Еквадор - ЛигаПро - Серия А · Мач ·

Емелек vs Леонес

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен30%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕмелекЛеонес
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 30% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Леонес win (21.6%)Двоен шанс1X78.4%1.28
Над 34% · Под 66%Goals 2.5Под66%1.52
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapЛеонес winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Емелек win49%2.041.8350.1%-1.1 pp
Равен30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
Леонес win22%4.554.5020.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Емелек0.97

Домакин share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 34% · Под 66%

Леонес1.10

Гост share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Емелек

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Леонес

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
4
0.97
Expected goals
1.10
ЕмелекЛеонес
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Емелек signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Леонес signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Емелек vs Леонес FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Емелек печеливш 49%,Равен 30%,Леонес печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Над 2.5 34% · Current selection Под