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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie A · Match ·

Emelec vs Leones FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score1–1EmelecLeones FC
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 30% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leones FC win (21.6%)Dubbelchans1X78.4%1.28
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapLeones FC winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Emelec win49%2.041.8350.1%-1.1 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
Leones FC win22%4.554.5020.4%+1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Emelec0.97

Hemma share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

Leones FC1.10

Borta share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Leones FC

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
4
0.97
Expected goals
1.10
EmelecLeones FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Emelec signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leones FC signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Emelec vs Leones FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Emelec vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 30%,Leones FC vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under