Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 30% / 22%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leones FC win (21.6%)Double chance1X78.4%1.28
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapLeones FC winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Emelec win49%2.041.8350.1%-1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
Leones FC win22%4.554.5020.4%+1.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.9%
Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%
Away share of expected goals 53.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchEmelec
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchLeones FC
LWLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
22%4
Points from supplied form
40.97
Expected goals
1.10EmelecLeones FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Emelec vs Leones FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Emelec win 49%，Draw 30%，Leones FC win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.07 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under。