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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie A · Partita ·

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite15%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLibertad FC
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 25% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (15.5%)Doppia Chance1X84.5%1.18
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapSD Aucas winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Libertad FC win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.35

Casa share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Libertad FC1.00

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Libertad FC

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.35
Expected goals
1.00
SD AucasLibertad FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Libertad FC signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas vinta 60%,Pareggio 25%,Libertad FC vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto