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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Trận đấu ·

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng60%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng15%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng60% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLibertad FC
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
60% / 25% / 15%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (15.5%)Cơ hội kép1X84.5%1.18
Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%Goals 2.5Xỉu58%1.72
Có 47% · Không 53%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapSD Aucas winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Hòa25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Libertad FC win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.35

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%

Libertad FC1.00

Khách share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · Không 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Libertad FC

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Thắng probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.35
Expected goals
1.00
SD AucasLibertad FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Libertad FC signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas thắng 60%,Hòa 25%,Libertad FC thắng 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Tài 2.5 42% · Current selection Xỉu