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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie A · Meci ·

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLibertad FC
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub58% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 25% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (15.5%)Șansă dublă1X84.5%1.18
Peste 42% · Sub 58%Goals 2.5Sub58%1.72
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapSD Aucas winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Aucas win60%1.671.5061.2%-1.2 pp
Egal25%4.003.8024.1%+0.9 pp
Libertad FC win15%6.676.2514.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.35

Gazde share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 42% · Sub 58%

Libertad FC1.00

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Libertad FC

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.35
Expected goals
1.00
SD AucasLibertad FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Libertad FC signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Libertad FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas câștig 60%,Egal 25%,Libertad FC câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Peste 2.5 42% · Current selection Sub