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INT Ecuador - Serie A · Partido ·

Orense vs Macará

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–2OrenseMacará
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 29% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Doble Oportunidad1270.5%1.42
Más de 48% · Menos de 52%Goals 2.5Menos de52%1.92
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.60 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapMacará winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orense win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
Empate29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Macará win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orense1.09

Local share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 48% · Menos de 52%

Macará1.51

Visitante share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Orense

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Macará

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
1.51
OrenseMacará
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orense signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macará signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Orense vs Macará FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orense ganada 38%,Empate 29%,Macará ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Más de 2.5 48% · Current selection Menos de