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INT エクアドル リーガプロ・セリエA · 試合 ·

オレンセ vs マカラ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–2オレンセマカラ
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 29% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)ダブルチャンス1270.5%1.42
オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%Goals 2.5アンダー52%1.92
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.60 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapマカラ winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
オレンセ win38%2.632.3838.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
マカラ win33%3.032.9031.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

オレンセ1.09

ホーム share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%

マカラ1.51

アウェイ share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

オレンセ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マカラ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
1.51
オレンセマカラ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01オレンセ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マカラ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

オレンセ vs マカラ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

オレンセ 勝ち 38%,引き分け 29%,マカラ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · オーバー 2.5 48% · Current selection アンダー