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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Матч ·

Сан-Жозе vs Гама

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья35%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сан-ЖозеГама
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше76% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 35% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сан-Жозе win (27.7%)Двойной шансX272.3%1.38
Больше 24% · Меньше 76%Goals 2.5Меньше76%1.32
Да 31% · Нет 69%Обе забьютНет69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapГама winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сан-Жозе win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Ничья35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Гама win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сан-Жозе0.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 24% · Меньше 76%

Гама1.06

Гости share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 31% · Нет 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сан-Жозе

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гама

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Сан-ЖозеГама
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сан-Жозе signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гама signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Сан-Жозе vs Гама FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сан-Жозе выигрыш 28%,Ничья 35%,Гама выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · ТБ 2.5 24% · Current selection Меньше