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BRA Brasil - Série D · Partida ·

São José RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa28%
Empate35%
Vitória visitante38%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante38% selection probability
Projected score1–1São José RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo76% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
28% / 35% / 38%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes São José RS win (27.7%)Dupla ChanceX272.3%1.38
Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%Goals 2.5Abaixo76%1.32
Sim 31% · Não 69%Ambas as equipes marcamNão69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapGama winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
São José RS win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Empate35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Gama win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

São José RS0.64

Mandante share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%

Gama1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 31% · Não 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

São José RS

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
São José RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01São José RS signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

São José RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

São José RS ganhou 28%,Empate 35%,Gama ganhou 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Acima 2.5 24% · Current selection Abaixo