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BRA Brazilië - Serie D · Wedstrijd ·

Sao Jose RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst28%
Gelijkspel35%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
28% / 35% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Jose RS win (27.7%)Dubbele KansX272.3%1.38
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 31% · Nee 69%Beide teams scorenNee69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapGama winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sao Jose RS win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Gama win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose RS0.64

Thuis share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Gama1.06

Uit share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nee 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sao Jose RS

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Sao Jose RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose RS signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Sao Jose RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose RS gewonnen 28%,Gelijkspel 35%,Gama gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder