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BRA Brasilien - Serie D · Spiel ·

São José RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg28%
Unentschieden35%
Auswärtssieg38%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1São José RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter76% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
28% / 35% / 38%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes São José RS win (27.7%)Doppelte ChanceX272.3%1.38
Über 24% · Unter 76%Goals 2.5Unter76%1.32
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapGama winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
São José RS win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Unentschieden35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Gama win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

São José RS0.64

Heim share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 24% · Unter 76%

Gama1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

São José RS

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
São José RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01São José RS signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

São José RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

São José RS Gewinn 28%,Unentschieden 35%,Gama Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Über 2.5 24% · Current selection Unter