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BRA Brazilia - Serie D · Meci ·

Sao Jose RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde28%
Egal35%
Victorie oaspeți38%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
28% / 35% / 38%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Jose RS win (27.7%)Șansă dublăX272.3%1.38
Peste 24% · Sub 76%Goals 2.5Sub76%1.32
Da 31% · Nu 69%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapGama winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sao Jose RS win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Egal35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Gama win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose RS0.64

Gazde share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 24% · Sub 76%

Gama1.06

Oaspeți share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 31% · Nu 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sao Jose RS

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Câștig probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Sao Jose RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose RS signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Sao Jose RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose RS câștig 28%,Egal 35%,Gama câștig 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Peste 2.5 24% · Current selection Sub