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BRA Brasil - Serie D · Partido ·

Esporte Clube São José vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local28%
Empate35%
Victoria visitante38%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Esporte Clube São JoséGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
28% / 35% / 38%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Esporte Clube São José win (27.7%)Doble OportunidadX272.3%1.38
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 31% · No 69%Ambos equipos marcanNo69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapGama winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Esporte Clube São José win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Empate35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Gama win38%2.632.4536.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Esporte Clube São José0.64

Local share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Gama1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Esporte Clube São José

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganado probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Esporte Clube São JoséGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Esporte Clube São José signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Esporte Clube São José vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Esporte Clube São José ganada 28%,Empate 35%,Gama ganada 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de