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INT Австралия - Кубок Австралии · Матч ·

Саут Мельбурн vs Фримантл Сити ФК

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев77%
Ничья14%
Победа гостей10%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев77% selection probability
Projected score2–1Саут МельбурнФримантл Сити ФК
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
77% / 14% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фримантл Сити ФК win (9.5%)Двойной шанс1X90.5%1.10
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.89 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Саут Мельбурн win77%1.301.1779.8%
Ничья14%7.147.5012.4%
Фримантл Сити ФК win10%10.0012.007.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Саут Мельбурн2.00

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

Фримантл Сити ФК0.89

Гости share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Саут Мельбурн

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фримантл Сити ФК

3.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
0.89
Саут МельбурнФримантл Сити ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Саут Мельбурн signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фримантл Сити ФК signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Саут Мельбурн vs Фримантл Сити ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Саут Мельбурн выигрыш 77%,Ничья 14%,Фримантл Сити ФК выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше