What is the South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 71%.

What are the South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne win 71%, draw 16%, and Fremantle City FC win 13%.

How many goals are expected in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC?

The displayed projection is 2.88 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 56%.

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INT Australia Cup · Fixture · Sun, Aug 9, 17:40

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–12.88 expected goals

Away form

Home win71%

Draw16%

Away win13%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 71% selection probability

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability

Projected score2–1South Melbourne — Fremantle City FC

Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side

Expected corners9.5Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

71% / 16% / 13%Match resultHome win71%1.41

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (12.9%)Double chance1X87.1%1.15

Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79

Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82

2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

South Melbourne win71%1.411.2773.9%—

Draw16%6.256.2515%—

Fremantle City FC win13%7.698.5011%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.92

Home share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Fremantle City FC0.96

Away share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match

Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

3.00pts / match

Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

71%

Win probability excluding draw

13%

Points from supplied form

1.92

Expected goals

0.96

South MelbourneFremantle City FC

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions