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INT Puchar Australii · Mecz ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy77%
Remis14%
Wygrana gości10%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy77% selection probability
Projected score2–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
77% / 14% / 10%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (9.5%)Podwójna szansa1X90.5%1.10
Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%Goals 2.5Powyżej57%1.75
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.89 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Melbourne win77%1.301.1779.8%
Remis14%7.147.5012.4%
Fremantle City FC win10%10.0012.007.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne2.00

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%

Fremantle City FC0.89

Goście share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punkty3

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
10%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
0.89
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne wygrana 77%,Remis 14%,Fremantle City FC wygrana 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Powyżej 2.5 57% · Current selection Powyżej