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INT Australien - Pokal · Spiel ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg71%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg13%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 71% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg71% selection probability
Projected score2–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
71% / 16% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (12.9%)Doppelte Chance1X87.1%1.15
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Melbourne win71%1.411.2773.9%
Unentschieden16%6.256.2515%
Fremantle City FC win13%7.698.5011%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.92

Heim share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Fremantle City FC0.96

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

3.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
0.96
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne Gewinn 71%,Unentschieden 16%,Fremantle City FC Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über