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INT Coppa d'Australia · Partita ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa77%
Pareggio14%
Vittoria ospite10%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa77% selection probability
Projected score2–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
77% / 14% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (9.5%)Doppia Chance1X90.5%1.10
Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%Goals 2.5Sopra57%1.75
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.89 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Melbourne win77%1.301.1779.8%
Pareggio14%7.147.5012.4%
Fremantle City FC win10%10.0012.007.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne2.00

Casa share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%

Fremantle City FC0.89

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

3.00pts / match
Giocate1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punti3

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
0.89
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne vinta 77%,Pareggio 14%,Fremantle City FC vinta 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Sopra 2.5 57% · Current selection Sopra