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INT Australien - Cup · Match ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger77%
Oavgjort14%
Bortaseger10%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger77% selection probability
Projected score2–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
77% / 14% / 10%MatchresultatHemmaseger77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (9.5%)Dubbelchans1X90.5%1.10
Över 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Över57%1.75
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Melbourne win77%1.301.1779.8%
Oavgjort14%7.147.5012.4%
Fremantle City FC win10%10.0012.007.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne2.00

Hemma share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 57% · Under 43%

Fremantle City FC0.89

Borta share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

3.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
10%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
0.89
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne vunnen 77%,Oavgjort 14%,Fremantle City FC vunnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Över 2.5 57% · Current selection Över