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INT Австралия - Купа · Мач ·

Южен Мелбърн vs ФК Фримантъл Сити

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина77%
Равен14%
Победа за госта10%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 77% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина77% selection probability
Projected score2–1Южен МелбърнФК Фримантъл Сити
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
77% / 14% / 10%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Фримантъл Сити win (9.5%)Двоен шанс1X90.5%1.10
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.89 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Южен Мелбърн win77%1.301.1779.8%
Равен14%7.147.5012.4%
ФК Фримантъл Сити win10%10.0012.007.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Южен Мелбърн2.00

Домакин share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

ФК Фримантъл Сити0.89

Гост share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Южен Мелбърн

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Фримантъл Сити

3.00pts / match
Изиграни1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Точки3

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
10%
13
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
0.89
Южен МелбърнФК Фримантъл Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Южен Мелбърн signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Фримантъл Сити signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Южен Мелбърн vs ФК Фримантъл Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Южен Мелбърн печеливш 77%,Равен 14%,ФК Фримантъл Сити печеливш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над