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LVA Латвия - Высшая лига · Round 26 ·

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей45%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей45% selection probability
Projected score1–1СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 26% / 45%Исход матчаПобеда гостей45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Двойной шанс1273.6%1.36
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapСК Супер Нова winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СК Супер Нова win29%3.453.2027.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
ФК Лиепая win45%2.221.9545.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СК Супер Нова1.34

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

ФК Лиепая1.32

Гости share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СК Супер Нова

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Лиепая

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СК Супер Нова signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Лиепая signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СК Супер Нова выигрыш 29%,Ничья 26%,ФК Лиепая выигрыш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше