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LVA Łotwa - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy30%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości44%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości44% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
30% / 27% / 44%Wynik meczuWygrana gości44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Podwójna szansa1273.3%1.36
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win30%3.333.1029.2%+0.8 pp
Remis27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FK Liepaja win44%2.272.0544.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.34

Gospodarze share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Goście share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova wygrana 30%,Remis 27%,FK Liepaja wygrana 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej