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LVA Lettland - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg29%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg45%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg45% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
29% / 26% / 45%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Doppelte Chance1273.6%1.36
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win29%3.453.2027.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
FK Liepaja win45%2.221.9545.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.34

Heim share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova Gewinn 29%,Unentschieden 26%,FK Liepaja Gewinn 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter