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LVA ラトビア ヴィルスリーガ · Round 26 ·

SKスーパーノヴァ vs FKリエパジャ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利28%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利46%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利46% selection probability
Projected score1–1SKスーパーノヴァFKリエパジャ
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
28% / 26% / 46%試合結果アウェイ勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)ダブルチャンス1273.6%1.36
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.66 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSKスーパーノヴァ winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SKスーパーノヴァ win28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
引き分け26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
FKリエパジャ win46%2.171.9146.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SKスーパーノヴァ1.34

ホーム share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

FKリエパジャ1.32

アウェイ share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

SKスーパーノヴァ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FKリエパジャ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
勝ち probability excluding draw
46%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
SKスーパーノヴァFKリエパジャ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SKスーパーノヴァ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKリエパジャ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SKスーパーノヴァ vs FKリエパジャ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SKスーパーノヴァ 勝ち 28%,引き分け 26%,FKリエパジャ 勝ち 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー