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LVA Letónia - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa28%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante46%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante46% selection probability
Projected score1–1SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
28% / 26% / 46%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dupla Chance1273.6%1.36
Acima 49% · Abaixo 51%Goals 2.5Abaixo51%1.96
Sim 54% · Não 46%Ambas as equipes marcamSim54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapSK Super Nova winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Super Nova win28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Empate26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
FK Liepaja win46%2.171.9146.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Super Nova1.34

Mandante share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 49% · Abaixo 51%

FK Liepaja1.32

Visitante share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 54% · Não 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
46%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
SK Super NovaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Super Nova signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SK Super Nova vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Super Nova ganhou 28%,Empate 26%,FK Liepaja ganhou 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Acima 2.5 49% · Current selection Abaixo