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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
LVA Латвия - Вирслига · Round 26 ·

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина29%
Равен26%
Победа за госта45%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта45% selection probability
Projected score1–1СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
29% / 26% / 45%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Двоен шанс1273.6%1.36
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapСК Супер Нова winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СК Супер Нова win29%3.453.2027.9%+1.1 pp
Равен26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
ФК Лиепая win45%2.221.9545.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СК Супер Нова1.34

Домакин share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

ФК Лиепая1.32

Гост share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

СК Супер Нова

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Лиепая

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
СК Супер НоваФК Лиепая
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СК Супер Нова signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Лиепая signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

СК Супер Нова vs ФК Лиепая FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СК Супер Нова печеливш 29%,Равен 26%,ФК Лиепая печеливш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под