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KAZ Казахстан - Премьер-лига · Round 25 ·

ФК Атырау vs ФК Актобе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев31%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК АтырауФК Актобе
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
31% / 29% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Двойной шанс1270.7%1.41
Больше 31% · Меньше 69%Goals 2.5Меньше69%1.45
Да 39% · Нет 61%Обе забьютНет61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapФК Атырау winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Атырау win31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
ФК Актобе win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Атырау1.06

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 31% · Меньше 69%

ФК Актобе0.91

Гости share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Нет 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Атырау

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Актобе

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalГости won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
ФК АтырауФК Актобе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Атырау signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Актобе signalГости won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ФК Атырау vs ФК Актобе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Атырау выигрыш 31%,Ничья 29%,ФК Актобе выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · ТБ 2.5 31% · Current selection Меньше