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KAZ Kazahstan - Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde29%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți42%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți42% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub69% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
29% / 29% / 42%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Atyrau win (28.9%)Șansă dublăX271.1%1.41
Peste 31% · Sub 69%Goals 2.5Sub69%1.45
Da 39% · Nu 61%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Atyrau winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atyrau win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Egal29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
FK Aktobe win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atyrau1.06

Gazde share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 31% · Sub 69%

FK Aktobe0.91

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 39% · Nu 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Atyrau

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Aktobe

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalOaspeți won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Câștig probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atyrau signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Aktobe signalOaspeți won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atyrau câștig 29%,Egal 29%,FK Aktobe câștig 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Peste 2.5 31% · Current selection Sub