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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger29%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger42%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
29% / 29% / 42%MatchresultatBortaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Atyrau win (28.9%)DubbelchansX271.1%1.41
Över 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Atyrau winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atyrau win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
FK Aktobe win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atyrau1.06

Hemma share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 31% · Under 69%

FK Aktobe0.91

Borta share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Atyrau

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Aktobe

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalBorta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atyrau signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Aktobe signalBorta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atyrau vunnen 29%,Oavgjort 29%,FK Aktobe vunnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Över 2.5 31% · Current selection Under