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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

Ατιράου vs Ακτόμπε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου31%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΑτιράουΑκτόμπε
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω69% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
31% / 29% / 40%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.7%1.41
Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%Goals 2.5Κάτω69%1.45
Ναι 39% · Όχι 61%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapΑτιράου winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ατιράου win31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Ακτόμπε win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ατιράου1.06

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%

Ακτόμπε0.91

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 39% · Όχι 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ατιράου

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ακτόμπε

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
40%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
ΑτιράουΑκτόμπε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ατιράου signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ακτόμπε signalΦιλοξενούμενος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ατιράου vs Ακτόμπε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ατιράου νίκη 31%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Ακτόμπε νίκη 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Άνω 2.5 31% · Current selection Κάτω