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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier31%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier40%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
31% / 29% / 40%KampresultatBorteseier40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dobbel sjanse1270.7%1.41
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nei 61%Begge lag scorerNei61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapFK Atyrau winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atyrau win31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Uavgjort29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
FK Aktobe win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atyrau1.06

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

FK Aktobe0.91

Borte share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nei 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Atyrau

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FK Aktobe

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalBorte won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
40%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atyrau signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Aktobe signalBorte won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atyrau vunnet 31%,Uavgjort 29%,FK Aktobe vunnet 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under