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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite42%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite42% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto69% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 29% / 42%Esito partitaVittoria ospite42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Atyrau win (28.9%)Doppia ChanceX271.1%1.41
Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%Goals 2.5Sotto69%1.45
Sì 39% · No 61%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Atyrau winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atyrau win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
FK Aktobe win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atyrau1.06

Casa share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%

FK Aktobe0.91

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FK Atyrau

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Aktobe

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
0.91
FK AtyrauFK Aktobe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atyrau signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Aktobe signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Atyrau vs FK Aktobe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atyrau vinta 29%,Pareggio 29%,FK Aktobe vinta 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Sopra 2.5 31% · Current selection Sotto