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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Partita ·

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.98 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa57%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa57% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Expected goals3.98Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
57% / 23% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (19.9%)Doppia Chance1X80.1%1.25
Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%Goals 2.5Sopra76%1.32
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
3.98 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapFC Astana winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Astana win57%1.751.6255.4%+1.6 pp
Pareggio23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Okzhetpes Kokshetau win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Astana2.86

Casa share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.98Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.12

Trasferta share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Astana

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
6
2.86
Expected goals
1.12
FC AstanaOkzhetpes Kokshetau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Astana signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Okzhetpes Kokshetau signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Astana vinta 57%,Pareggio 23%,Okzhetpes Kokshetau vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.98 · Sopra 2.5 76% · Current selection Sopra